We’ll be updating this article throughout the season, along with all of our predictions, so be sure to keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2023 Emmy race. Nomination voting will run June 15-26, with nominees official at the Emmys announced Wednesday, July 12. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will be presented on two consecutive nights on Saturday, September 9 and Sunday, September 10, with a curated presentation of the ceremonies airing on FXX at a later date. Finally, the 75th Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, September 18 and will air live on FOX at 8pm ET / 5pm PT.
The state of the breed
Unfortunately, there aren’t shows like “The White Lotus” this year with enough breakout roles to single-handedly fill the Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Anthology Series or Movie category. The closest would be Prime Video’s “Daisy Jones and the Six,” where Camila Morrone excels in the difficult role of Camila, and Nabiyah Be giving a full arc to a character who’s barely in the book on which the series is based.
Lena Headey and Judy Greer were also considered top contenders for their roles in the HBO series ‘White House Plumbers’, although the series may not end up being the Emmy bait it had been championed. “Love and Death” star Lily Rabe certainly has a better chance now that the full series has aired, which also improves co-star Krysten Ritter’s chances of being nominated.
Meanwhile, some actresses like “Great Expectations” star Olivia Colman, “Five Days at Memorial” star Cherry Jones and “Tiny Beautiful Things” star Merritt Wever have stayed in the conversation based on voters’ love for their entire body of work more so than the specific role they are striving for.
But the real race here is between TV Academy favorites Niecy Nash-Betts (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) and Claire Danes (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”), with the former ahead because she has never won an Emmy before, despite multiple nominations. Additionally, Nash-Betts was the best advocate for the Netflix series’ widely followed, yet largely polarizing intentions, and more scenes throughout the complete series to showcase her talents.
Current contenders (in alphabetical order):
Nabiyah Be, “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Prime Video)
Maria Bello, “Beef” (Netflix)
Olivia Colman, “Great Expectations” (FX)
Claire Danes, “Fleishman is in trouble” (FX)
Jennifer Ehle, “Dead Ringers” (Prime Video)
Billie Eilish, “Swarm” (Prime Video)
Judy Greer, “Plumbers in the White House” (HBO)
Lena Headey, “Plumbers in the White House” (HBO)
Cherry Jones, “Five Days at Memorial” (Apple TV+)
Camila Morrone, “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Prime Video)
Niecy Nash-Betts, “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
Lily Rabe, “Love and Death” (HBO Max)
Krysten Ritter, “Love and Death” (HBO Max)
Suki Waterhouse, “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Prime Video)
Merritt Wever, “Beautiful Little Things” (Hulu)
More predictions on the limited series and TV movie categories:
Outstanding Limited Series or Anthology
Outstanding TV Movie
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Miniseries or a Movie
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Miniseries or a Movie
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or a Movie
To see IndieWire’s full set of predictions for the 75th Emmy Awards click here.
Last year’s winner: Jennifer Coolidge, “The White Lotus”
Still eligible: More or less (moved categories).
Hot Series: Coolidge actually has a couple of senior year performances that are on the verge of qualifying her for this category, which would make it possible for her to win two years in a row. It’s more likely, however, that HBO will take home this particular Emmy for the third year in a row.
Notable ineligible series: Aubrey Plaza, Meghann Fahy, Haley Lu Richardson, Sabrina Impacciatore, Simona Tobasco and Beatrice Grannò, “The White Lotus: Sicily” (billed as a drama series); Jennifer Jason Leigh, Richa Moorjani & Jessica Pohly, “Fargo” (Season 5 was ineligible)
